The first round of the playoffs starts tommorrow so I thought it would be a good time to review the matchup and predict the outcome. Cole Hamels will face off in the first game against a relative unknown Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo only threw 24 big league innings this year but my son tells me that Gallardo has a live arm and is one to watch in the future. He had knee surgery only four months ago but worked very hard to push himself back to the show. The Phillies historically struggle against pitchers they have not seen so not sure what to expect with facing Gallardo. Hopefully they will figure him out early and get to the Brewer Pen which I think is a weak spot.
The regular season series went to the Phillies by a count of 5 to 1 in the six games played, included in that tally was a four game series sweep in September that set the stage for the Fightins drive to the N.L. east division title. It is acknowledged that the Phillies have yet to face Brewer superman C.C. Sabbathia as his turn was not included in the September series and that may have indeed put a different slant on the outcome.
The Phillies will open the playoff series with young ace Cole Hamels who battled nerves in last years playoff round against Colorado. Hamels has outstanding stuff and when he is on is very tough to beat, the Phillies have not given him much in offensive support this season else the 14 wins he did get may have been more like 18 to 20. Sabbathia was forced to throw on Sunday so the Brewers will not have their ace to match up with Hamels in the opener but rather will pitch him in game two on three days rest once again. No one else in the Brewer starting rotation puts much fear in me at this point, Ben Sheets would but he is hurting physically. The Phillies will follow Hamels with righthander Brett Myers, his first playoff start, and then the staff’s best starter Jamie Moyer (16 wins) in games two and three. Philadelphia’s bullpen is amongst the best in the game anchored by Brad Lidge who had 41 saves in 41 tries, the team is perfect when leading after eight innings going 79 and 0 when that happens. Key to the team success will continue to be the relief firm of Chad Durbin, J.C. Romero, Scott Eyre and Ryan Madson as they most assuredly will be counted on for innings 7 and 8 and potentially as early as the sixth. The eighth inning has been the achilles heel this season so these boys gotta step up for the Fightins to have continued success.
Philadelphia’s offense is keyed by National League Home Run and RBI champion Ryan Howard who had a torrid September to carry the team on his back, in my opinion he is the National League MVP. Other keys to the series will be the spark ignited both defensively and offensively by Jimmy Rollins, as he goes so do the Phillies. Shane Victorino has been the most consistent Phillie offensively and will have to continue to do so and second sacker Chase Utley will need to continue his steady “best in the game” form at second base. Jayson Werth and Pat Burrell had big hits down the stretch along with Greg Dobbs who led the National League with over 20 pinch hits this season. The Phillies led the league in homeruns this season collectively, in short they are a very good offensive ballclub.
The Brewers counter with Ryan Braun and Prince Feilder in the power department and Mike Cameron is one of the games best defensively in the outfield as well as at the plate with 25 bombs this season. Corey Hart and J.J. Hardy are very good players as well and will be a challenge to the Phillies. Milwaukee did struggle in September,(11-16), and are not as strong in the pen where Solomon Torres,( 7 blown saves), is the closer. Eric Gagne imploded many times down the stretch so I feel if we can get to their bullpen early we can do some damage with our offense.
Overall I think that the Brewers really scuffled in September resulting in the firing of Ned Yost as the manager and rode Sabbathia heavily to get to the playoffs. I’m hoping that they may be spent by doing so, they also come into the playoffs relatively inexperienced. Sabbathia pitched on short rest for most of September and albeit he is a true stud should be running on a low tank. I think that the Phillies are deeper in pitching, are overall better on offense and are at least a match as a defensive team. It is my opinion that they will win the series in four games, hope that I am right!

